Millions of Japanese braved typhoon conditions on Sunday for a snap election likely to hand Prime Minister Shinzo Abe a fresh mandate to revive the world’s third-largest economy and press his hardline stance on North Korea.
Analysts say that if the weather affects turnout, it is likely to benefit Mr. Abe, whose conservative voters are more determined, putting the nationalist blueblood on course to become the country’s longest-serving leader.
“I support Abe’s stance not to give in to North Korea’s pressure,” one voter, Yoshihisa Iemori, said as he cast his ballot in Tokyo.
The near-constant drizzle throughout the campaign has not dampened the enthusiasm of hundr of doughty, sash-wearing parliamentary hopefuls, who have driven around in minibuses pleading for votes via loudspeaker and bowing deeply to every potential voter.
But with little doubt over the eventual result, the suspense lies in whether Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its junior coalition partner will retain its two-thirds majority in the lower house.
Such a “supermajority” would allow Abe to propose changes to Japan’s US-imposed constitution that forces it to “renounce” war and effectively limits its military to a self-defence role.
Ballot boxes close at 8:00 pm (1100 GMT) when broadcasters publish generally reliable exit polls.
We must not waver
Mr. Abe shocked Japan by calling the snap election a year earlier than expected, urging voters to stick with him in the face of what he termed the dual “national crises” of an ageing population and North Korean tensions.
Nationalist Abe has taken a hawkish line during the crisis, binding Japan to the US stance that “all options” are on the table to counter Pyongyang’s nuclear threat and urging maximum pressure via sanctions.
“We must not yield to the threat of North Korea.”
Observers say North Korea’s sabre-rattling has helped Abe, 63, as voters tend to plump for the incumbent at times of heightened tension.
Voter Etsuko Nakajima, 84, told AFP: “I totally oppose the current government. Morals collapsed. I’m afraid this country will be broken.”
“I think if the LDP takes power, Japan will be in danger. He does not do politics for the people,” added the pensioner.
But Abe faces a weak and fractured opposition in the shape of two parties that have only existed for a few weeks, the Party of Hope created by Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike and the centre-left Constitutional Democratic Party.
“As it turned out, the Party of Hope is hopeless,” said Michael Cucek from Temple University.
Abenomics: limited impact
Despite the threat from North Korea, many voters feel the economy is a more pressing issue, as the prime minister’s trademark “Abenomics” policy has had limited success in returning Japan to its former glories.
While the stock market stands at a 21-year high, the benefits have been slow to trickle down to the general public.
Mr. Abe has vowed to use part of the proce from a proposed sales tax hike to provide free childcare in a bid to get more women working but Koike wants to scrap the tax hike altogether.